Short Analysis

14 July 2025

A ceasefire and potential renewal of military action: possible reactions from Russian society and war veterans

Post-war Russia may face social unrest, veteran tensions, and renewed repression – unless the Kremlin channels aggression into a new conflict

10 July 2025

Economic constraints of the Russian war machine

Russia can sustain current war spending, but limited innovation and sanctions risk long-term economic stagnation and widening technological gaps

Sergey Aleksashenko

9 July 2025

Military lessons identified by Russia, priorities for reform, and challenges to implementation

Russia’s military overhaul is constrained by structural, economic, and demographic limits, reinforcing reliance on mass, firepower, and nuclear deterrence

7 July 2025

Modifying but not modernising: why the Kremlin has reverted to the Soviet concept of the Armed Forces

Russia is reshaping its military using Soviet-era models, raising the risk of strategic stagnation and potential confrontation with NATO

Alexander Golts

16 June 2025

The unknown toll: estimating Russian military losses in Ukraine

Young and working-age men in Russia are dying at sharply elevated rates, especially in poorer regions. With official data increasingly restricted, indirect indicators offer a glimpse of the true scale of Russia’s wartime casualties