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Short Analysis

The South Caucasus after the Washington meeting: What has really changed, and how Russia is responding

Examining the Trump Road initiative in the South Caucasus: infrastructure, sovereignty, great-power mediation, and the limits of externally driven peace

Briefing Notes

On the eve of Geneva: Can negotiations move beyond deadlock?

Ahead of the Geneva talks, Russia maintains its position and continues infrastructure strikes, suggesting that negotiations will remain stalled unless battlefield dynamics or external pressure significantly alter the parties’ calculations

Short Analysis

Neither friend nor foe: How perceptions of Russia are changing in Iran

Despite talk of strategic partnership, mistrust defines Iran-Russia ties, with support limited and shaped by doubt, history, and regional crises

Reports

Marriage without love: The Sino-Russian partnership and what it means for the world

The main risk for the West is Russia’s growing structural dependence on China, not the formation of a formal alliance

Briefing Notes

Playing the arms race game: Russia’s post-New START calculus

With New START expired, Moscow is signalling arms-race readiness-but in reality is seeking to freeze the current nuclear balance and slow US modernisation

Short Analysis

Trump in the Russian mirror: A year of shifting narratives

How Russian media portrays Trump’s second term – from cautious hope to strategic recalibration

Briefing Notes

The United States against Europe: Putin the winner

US-Europe tensions over Greenland are weakening transatlantic unity, expanding Russia’s room for manoeuvre, while simultaneously exposing limits of the Kremlin’s ambitions

Briefing Notes

Protests in Iran: Another setback for the Kremlin?

The fall of the Iranian regime would be a political blow for Moscow, further weakening its position in the Middle East, but it would not significantly affect Russia’s ability to continue its war against Ukraine

Short Analysis

The South Caucasus after the Washington meeting: What has really changed, and how Russia is responding

Examining the Trump Road initiative in the South Caucasus: infrastructure, sovereignty, great-power mediation, and the limits of externally driven peace

Briefing Notes

On the eve of Geneva: Can negotiations move beyond deadlock?

Ahead of the Geneva talks, Russia maintains its position and continues infrastructure strikes, suggesting that negotiations will remain stalled unless battlefield dynamics or external pressure significantly alter the parties’ calculations

Short Analysis

Neither friend nor foe: How perceptions of Russia are changing in Iran

Despite talk of strategic partnership, mistrust defines Iran-Russia ties, with support limited and shaped by doubt, history, and regional crises

Reports

Marriage without love: The Sino-Russian partnership and what it means for the world

The main risk for the West is Russia’s growing structural dependence on China, not the formation of a formal alliance

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New Eurasian Strategies Centre

Based in London and Washington, D.C., NEST Centre brings together the best expertise on Russia and the surrounding region. Its mission is to identify the forces shaping Russia’s long-term future, analyse their impact and develop strategies to bring about peaceful and positive development of the country

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Short Analysis

Putin should worry about the Trump-Xi relationship

For Russia, the implications of a U.S.-China rapprochement – even if based on convenience rather than conviction – are profound.

Briefing Notes

A budget without a future: How the Russian economy stays afloat

Russia’s 2026–2028 budget shows managed stagnation: war spending dominates, society adapts to economic pressure, but optimism is starting to fade

Short Analysis

Xi Jinping in the Russian media: The indispensable partner Moscow cannot fully trust

How the Russian media portrays China’s leader – between strategic necessity and subordinate reality 
Sergey Mastitsky
Sergey Mastitsky

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