Mikhail Kasyanov, former Russian Prime Minister, speaks on Putin’s Ukraine strategy, war finances, and Russia’s shifting prospects
Russia positions itself as a mediator in the Iran–Israel conflict, but limited leverage and deep mistrust expose the fragility of its regional influence
Young and working-age men in Russia are dying at sharply elevated rates, especially in poorer regions. With official data increasingly restricted, indirect indicators offer a glimpse of the true scale of Russia’s wartime casualties
Russia’s efforts to achieve technological independence are running into practical limits, with key national projects falling behind due to sanctions, weak institutions, and lack of capacity
Recent Ukrainian drone strikes and rail sabotage in Russia have exposed vulnerabilities in the political system and triggered negative reactions among loyalists, posing a political challenge for the Kremlin
Victory Day has become a tool of mobilisation. The Kremlin now uses war memory to justify aggression and offer symbolic stability amid public anxiety
North Korea’s role in Russia’s war is limited militarily but rich in symbolism, offering strategic dividends to both regimes – and raising fresh risks for Beijing
Russia rejects a simple ceasefire – seeking a broader deal on European security – but may still compromise if the US offers firm strategic guarantees
Putin sees progress in Ukraine, but war strains mount. Labour and equipment shortages grow, while Russia leans on allies to sustain its military and economy
Putin’s army adapts tactically, but systemic flaws, heavy losses, poor morale, and reliance on foreign aid expose its failure to achieve strategic gains
Putin decrees to raise troop numbers after heavy losses and a Ukrainian incursion in Kursk
Ukraine’s incursion into Kursk region challenged the Kremlin’s image of control, revealed public anxiety and the state’s detachment from its own citizens
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