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Demography

Short Analysis
  • 2 December 2025

How the 2012 health decree allows for manipulation with death statistics in Russia

Putin’s 2012 decrees have triggered widespread manipulation of cause-of-death data ever since, with cardiovascular deaths re-coded into other categories to meet political targets

Aby Shukiurov
Aby Shukiurov
Reports
  • 13 November 2025

The dictator’s legacy: A new zastoy

Russia’s economy has adapted to war but stalled. Fiscal strength masks decline as innovation and talent drain away – giving way to stagnation

Sergey AleksashenkoVladislav InozemtsevDmitry Nekrasov
Sergey Aleksashenko, Vladislav Inozemtsev, Dmitry Nekrasov
Briefing Notes
  • 22 August 2025

The Kremlin between war and negotiations

Putin seeks to secure the Donbas and limit Ukraine’s sovereignty, yet military shortfalls and shifting public opinion leave the Kremlin with few strategic options

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Short Analysis
  • 16 June 2025

The unknown toll: estimating Russian military losses in Ukraine

Young and working-age men in Russia are dying at sharply elevated rates, especially in poorer regions. With official data increasingly restricted, indirect indicators offer a glimpse of the true scale of Russia’s wartime casualties

Aby Shukiurov
Aby Shukiurov
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