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NEST Centre

NEST Centre

Senior Research Fellow, Head of Economics

Russian Foreign PolicyWar in UkraineUS-Russia RelationsRussian Domestic PoliticsMilitaryEU-Russia RelationsRussian EconomySanctionsRussian ElitesMiddle EastChina-Russia RelationsSouth Caucasus
Briefing Notes
  • 15 May 2025

Istanbul 2.0: the evolution of the Kremlin’s requirements for peace

As the Kremlin reopens the door to peace talks, a new threat emerges: its own war supporters may see compromise as betrayal

Briefing Notes
  • 8 May 2025

The long march of Victory Day – from memory to mobilisation

Victory Day has become a tool of mobilisation. The Kremlin now uses war memory to justify aggression and offer symbolic stability amid public anxiety

Briefing Notes
  • 2 May 2025

Russia and North Korea: tactical alignment or long-term strategy?

North Korea’s role in Russia’s war is limited militarily but rich in symbolism, offering strategic dividends to both regimes – and raising fresh risks for Beijing

Briefing Notes
  • 24 April 2025

Is the Kremlin worried by the US threat to walk away from peace talks on Ukraine?

The Kremlin sees US exit threats from Ukraine talks as a tactic, not a real risk – and may use them to boost its own position

Briefing Notes
  • 18 April 2025

Ceasefire negotiations: what could make Russia change its strategy?

Russia rejects a simple ceasefire – seeking a broader deal on European security – but may still compromise if the US offers firm strategic guarantees

Briefing Notes
  • 11 April 2025

Has Putin rejected Trump’s Ukraine peace plan?

Putin resists de-escalation in Ukraine, signalling distrust of Trump’s plan and betting on waning US support by mid-summer

Briefing Notes
  • 4 April 2025

The Murmansk message: Moscow’s bid to reshape global order

Putin’s Murmansk speech signals a bid to reshape global order – reviving spheres of influence and sidelining universal norms

Briefing Notes
  • 27 March 2025

The Black Sea Initiative: an unbalanced outcome

Black Sea talks yield an uneven outcome. While framed as mutual restraint, the arrangement strengthens Russia’s position without imposing meaningful limits on its actions

Briefing Notes
  • 20 March 2025

Russian-American negotiations: the Kremlin’s crossroads

Putin seeks negotiations on his terms while using conflict to weaken the West. A ceasefire remains distant, but the Kremlin aims to maximise its leverage

Briefing Notes
  • 12 March 2025

Ceasefire as an opportunity for Russia

Putin views a ceasefire as a tool for securing Western concessions. Moscow seeks to weaken Ukraine through negotiations while keeping the option of war open

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Монтажная область 1

New Eurasian Strategies Centre (c) 2026

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