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NEST Centre

NEST Centre

Senior Research Fellow, Head of Economics

Russian Foreign PolicyWar in UkraineUS-Russia RelationsRussian Domestic PoliticsMilitaryEU-Russia RelationsRussian EconomySanctionsRussian ElitesMiddle EastChina-Russia RelationsSouth Caucasus
Briefing Notes
  • 27 July 2026

Growing pessimism in Russia could unnerve the Kremlin

As war disrupts everyday life, growing pessimism could fuel emigration, capital flight and an increasingly repressive Kremlin response

Briefing Notes
  • 20 July 2026

Pragmatism for export: The Kremlin offers a vision of the post-war future

Andrey Melnichenko’s article signals Moscow’s terms for post-war dialogue while seeking to reassure Russia’s increasingly anxious business elite

Briefing Notes
  • 13 July 2026

Russia’s fuel crisis has exposed the Putin regime’s greatest vulnerability

Ukraine's refinery strikes have exposed not only fuel shortages, but the structural weaknesses of Putin's highly centralised system of governance

Briefing Notes
  • 6 July 2026

Rising tensions: The Kremlin prepares Kaliningrad for a potential blockade

The Kremlin is stepping up preparations to ensure Kaliningrad can withstand isolation in the event of a crisis with NATO

Briefing Notes
  • 29 June 2026

A signal to the elite: What the arrest of a Putin-connected businessman says about the Kremlin’s expectations

The arrest of Ilya Traber signals that even Putin's oldest allies are no longer immune if their loyalty to the war effort is in doubt

Briefing Notes
  • 22 June 2026

Encountering turbulence: How war is shaping the Russian State Duma elections

Russia's September State Duma elections will test the Kremlin's ability to manage elite loyalty and political stability amid war, economic strain, and growing FSB influence

Briefing Notes
  • 15 June 2026

Cancelled holidays: How the disruption of summer plans risks damaging Putin’s approval ratings

Summer holiday disruption caused by Ukrainian strikes is bringing the war closer to ordinary Russians, threatening public support for Putin and exposing the costs of a prolonged conflict

Briefing Notes
  • 8 June 2026

Ideology instead of economics: How the war has changed the SPIEF

Once a showcase for investment, SPIEF now reflects wartime Russia’s ideological turn, where geopolitics, militarism and state control increasingly eclipse economic debate

Briefing Notes
  • 1 June 2026

A new phase of the war against Ukraine: How Putin may try to secure Donbas

Russia’s next move in Ukraine may be escalation—through intensified strikes, pressure on Europe, and renewed nuclear threats—as Putin seeks a path to claim victory

Briefing Notes
  • 26 May 2026

A ‘nuclear signal’ from Belarus: How far is the Kremlin prepared to go?

Nuclear drills in Belarus show how the Kremlin blends intimidation, escalation and coercion in its war strategy

Briefing Notes
  • 18 May 2026

Changes to methodology stop the decline in Putin’s approval ratings

Methodological changes at Russia’s main state pollsters have halted the fall in Putin’s approval ratings, even as broader indicators point to rising public dissatisfaction and declining optimism

Briefing Notes
  • 11 May 2026

A duel of ultimatums: Will the May ceasefire lead to negotiations to end the war against Ukraine?

Russia and Ukraine appear to be escalating the pressure in order to improve their positions ahead of a possible return to peace talks

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Монтажная область 1

New Eurasian Strategies Centre (c) 2026

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