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NEST Centre

NEST Centre

Senior Research Fellow, Head of Economics

Russian Foreign PolicyWar in UkraineUS-Russia RelationsRussian Domestic PoliticsMilitaryEU-Russia RelationsRussian EconomySanctionsRussian ElitesMiddle EastChina-Russia RelationsSouth Caucasus
Briefing Notes
  • 7 September 2026

The language of force: Why Putin sees Western diplomacy as weakness

While Europe and the US respond to Russian escalation with diplomacy and bureaucratic measures, the Kremlin sees an invitation to push further.

Briefing Notes
  • 31 August 2026

Peace by blackmail: The Kremlin increases its pressure on Europe

Putin is using his customary diplomatic tactic of extracting concessions through the threat of escalation.

Briefing Notes
  • 24 August 2026

Riding two horses at once: Why United Russia downplays the war ahead of the elections

United Russia sidelines the war in its programme, while presenting a restricted election as proof of support for Putin’s course.

Briefing Notes
  • 17 August 2026

At a safe distance: Putin’s pre-election tour beyond the reach of Ukrainian drones

Putin’s revived regional tour aims to reassure war-weary Russians and shore up the Kremlin’s image of stability ahead of State Duma elections in 2026.

Briefing Notes
  • 10 August 2026

All in: The Kremlin’s new expectations of regional elites

The war is erasing the line between governing Russia’s regions and mobilising them for the front

Briefing Notes
  • 3 August 2026

Mobilisation 2.0: The Kremlin is preparing for the next phase of the war

Growing pressure at home is pushing the Kremlin towards a more coercive strategy to sustain a long war.

Briefing Notes
  • 27 July 2026

Growing pessimism in Russia could unnerve the Kremlin

As war disrupts everyday life, growing pessimism could fuel emigration, capital flight and an increasingly repressive Kremlin response.

Briefing Notes
  • 20 July 2026

Pragmatism for export: The Kremlin offers a vision of the post-war future

Andrey Melnichenko’s article signals Moscow’s terms for post-war dialogue while seeking to reassure Russia’s increasingly anxious business elite.

Briefing Notes
  • 13 July 2026

Russia’s fuel crisis has exposed the Putin regime’s greatest vulnerability

Ukraine's refinery strikes have exposed not only fuel shortages, but the structural weaknesses of Putin's highly centralised system of governance

Briefing Notes
  • 6 July 2026

Rising tensions: The Kremlin prepares Kaliningrad for a potential blockade

The Kremlin is stepping up preparations to ensure Kaliningrad can withstand isolation in the event of a crisis with NATO

Briefing Notes
  • 29 June 2026

A signal to the elite: What the arrest of a Putin-connected businessman says about the Kremlin’s expectations

The arrest of Ilya Traber signals that even Putin's oldest allies are no longer immune if their loyalty to the war effort is in doubt

Briefing Notes
  • 22 June 2026

Encountering turbulence: How war is shaping the Russian State Duma elections

Russia's September State Duma elections will test the Kremlin's ability to manage elite loyalty and political stability amid war, economic strain, and growing FSB influence

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Монтажная область 1

New Eurasian Strategies Centre (c) 2026

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