TOPICS
NEST Centre

NEST Centre

Senior Research Fellow, Head of Economics

Topics

MilitaryWar in UkraineNegotiationsTrump AdministrationRussian Domestic PolicySanctionsNorth KoreaDOMESTICarcticBlack SeaTurkey
Briefing Papers

Istanbul 2.0: the evolution of the Kremlin’s requirements for peace

As the Kremlin reopens the door to peace talks, a new threat emerges: its own war supporters may see compromise as betrayal

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

The long march of Victory Day – from memory to mobilisation

Victory Day has become a tool of mobilisation. The Kremlin now uses war memory to justify aggression and offer symbolic stability amid public anxiety

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

Russia and North Korea: tactical alignment or long-term strategy?

North Korea’s role in Russia’s war is limited militarily but rich in symbolism, offering strategic dividends to both regimes — and raising fresh risks for Beijing

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

Is the Kremlin worried by the US threat to walk away from peace talks on Ukraine?

The Kremlin sees US exit threats from Ukraine talks as a tactic, not a real risk – and may use them to boost its own position

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

Ceasefire negotiations: what could make Russia change its strategy?

Russia rejects a simple ceasefire – seeking a broader deal on European security – but may still compromise if the US offers firm strategic guarantees

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

Has Putin rejected Trump’s Ukraine peace plan?

Putin resists de-escalation in Ukraine, signalling distrust of Trump’s plan and betting on waning US support by mid-summer

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

The Murmansk Message: Moscow’s Bid to Reshape Global Order

Putin’s Murmansk speech signals a bid to reshape global order — reviving spheres of influence and sidelining universal norms

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

The Black Sea Initiative: an unbalanced outcome

Black Sea talks yield an uneven outcome. While framed as mutual restraint, the arrangement strengthens Russia’s position without imposing meaningful limits on its actions

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

Russian-American negotiations: the Kremlin’s crossroads

Putin seeks negotiations on his terms while using conflict to weaken the West. A ceasefire remains distant, but the Kremlin aims to maximise its leverage

NEST Centre
NEST Centre
Briefing Papers

Ceasefire as an opportunity for Russia

Putin views a ceasefire as a tool for securing Western concessions. Moscow seeks to weaken Ukraine through negotiations while keeping the option of war open

NEST Centre
NEST Centre

New Eurasian Strategies Centre (c) 2025

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