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NEST Centre

NEST Centre

Senior Research Fellow, Head of Economics

War in UkraineRussian Foreign PolicyUS-Russia RelationsRussian Domestic PoliticsMilitaryEU-Russia RelationsRussian EconomySanctionsRussian ElitesMiddle EastChina-Russia RelationsSouth Caucasus
Briefing Notes
  • 26 October 2026

Government reshuffle: Austerity beckons

The reshuffle strengthens the Finance Ministry, weakens Mishustin and puts tighter spending controls at the heart of Russia’s war economy.

Briefing Notes
  • 19 October 2026

Moscow’s dream scenario: Russia and the US aligned against Ukraine

Moscow sees the Trump-Zelensky rift as part of a deeper US-Europe divide that could weaken Western support for Ukraine.

Briefing Notes
  • 12 October 2026

Urbicide: Russia’s campaign against Ukrainian cities threatens to draw Europe deeper into the war

Russia’s escalating strikes on Ukraine’s energy system risk a humanitarian crisis that could force Europe into deeper involvement.

Briefing Notes
  • 5 October 2026

‘Besieged fortress’: The Kremlin is turning escalation towards NATO into domestic mobilisation

Moscow’s threats help justify tighter controls, cuts to civilian spending and new recruitment methods as the war’s costs mount.

Briefing Notes
  • 28 September 2026

The asymmetry trap: Why Moscow and Kyiv cannot agree on an ‘energy truce’

Kyiv seeks protection for its energy grid this winter. Moscow wants relief for refineries, ports and its shadow fleet. Neither is ready to concede enough.

Briefing Notes
  • 21 September 2026

Victory by design: The Kremlin decided not to put support for the war to the test

A record United Russia majority masks coercion, blocked opposition and a parliament increasingly shaped by veterans of the war in Ukraine.

Briefing Notes
  • 14 September 2026

Playing for time: How Europe’s rightward shift strengthens the Kremlin’s belief in victory

Europe’s rightward shift is reinforcing the Kremlin’s belief that time, elections and divisions within the West are on its side.

Briefing Notes
  • 7 September 2026

The language of force: Why Putin sees Western diplomacy as weakness

While Europe and the US respond to Russian escalation with diplomacy and bureaucratic measures, the Kremlin sees an invitation to push further.

Briefing Notes
  • 31 August 2026

Peace by blackmail: The Kremlin increases its pressure on Europe

Putin is using his customary diplomatic tactic of extracting concessions through the threat of escalation.

Briefing Notes
  • 24 August 2026

Riding two horses at once: Why United Russia downplays the war ahead of the elections

United Russia sidelines the war in its programme, while presenting a restricted election as proof of support for Putin’s course.

Briefing Notes
  • 17 August 2026

At a safe distance: Putin’s pre-election tour beyond the reach of Ukrainian drones

Putin’s revived regional tour aims to reassure war-weary Russians and shore up the Kremlin’s image of stability ahead of State Duma elections in 2026.

Briefing Notes
  • 10 August 2026

All in: The Kremlin’s new expectations of regional elites

The war is erasing the line between governing Russia’s regions and mobilising them for the front

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Монтажная область 1

New Eurasian Strategies Centre (c) 2026

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