For Russia, the implications of a U.S.-China rapprochement — even if based on convenience rather than conviction — are profound.
Despite talk of strategic partnership, mistrust defines Iran–Russia ties, with support limited and shaped by doubt, history, and regional crises
The main risk for the West is Russia’s growing structural dependence on China, not the formation of a formal alliance
How the Russian media portrays China's leader – between strategic necessity and subordinate reality
With New START expired, Moscow is signalling arms-race readiness—but in reality is seeking to freeze the current nuclear balance and slow US modernisation
How Russian media portrays Trump’s second term – from cautious hope to strategic recalibration
The 2026 elections will not change Russia’s political course, but will complete the current reshaping of the regime and may increase its exposure to latent public dissatisfaction
US–Europe tensions over Greenland are weakening transatlantic unity, expanding Russia’s room for manoeuvre, while simultaneously exposing limits of the Kremlin’s ambitions
The fall of the Iranian regime would be a political blow for Moscow, further weakening its position in the Middle East, but it would not significantly affect Russia’s ability to continue its war against Ukraine
The US capture of Maduro exposes Russia’s limited power, while normalising a force-based world order the Kremlin can exploit to legitimise its war against Ukraine
Russia enters 2026 with inflation under control but growth exhausted: a war-driven economy, fiscal constraints, and sanctions leave little room for recovery and heighten the risk of recession
Putin’s 2025 Direct Line makes clear that Russia is being locked into a present defined by war, economic constraint, and permanent confrontation with the West, with no vision for the future
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