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NEST Centre

NEST Centre

Senior Research Fellow, Head of Economics

Russian Foreign PolicyWar in UkraineUS-Russia RelationsRussian Domestic PoliticsMilitaryEU-Russia RelationsRussian EconomySanctionsRussian ElitesMiddle EastChina-Russia RelationsSouth Caucasus
Briefing Notes
  • 15 June 2026

Cancelled holidays: How the disruption of summer plans risks damaging Putin’s approval ratings

Summer holiday disruption caused by Ukrainian strikes is bringing the war closer to ordinary Russians, threatening public support for Putin and exposing the costs of a prolonged conflict

Briefing Notes
  • 8 June 2026

Ideology instead of economics: How the war has changed the SPIEF

Once a showcase for investment, SPIEF now reflects wartime Russia’s ideological turn, where geopolitics, militarism and state control increasingly eclipse economic debate

Briefing Notes
  • 1 June 2026

A new phase of the war against Ukraine: How Putin may try to secure Donbas

Russia’s next move in Ukraine may be escalation—through intensified strikes, pressure on Europe, and renewed nuclear threats—as Putin seeks a path to claim victory

Briefing Notes
  • 26 May 2026

A ‘nuclear signal’ from Belarus: How far is the Kremlin prepared to go?

Nuclear drills in Belarus show how the Kremlin blends intimidation, escalation and coercion in its war strategy

Briefing Notes
  • 18 May 2026

Changes to methodology stop the decline in Putin’s approval ratings

Methodological changes at Russia’s main state pollsters have halted the fall in Putin’s approval ratings, even as broader indicators point to rising public dissatisfaction and declining optimism

Briefing Notes
  • 11 May 2026

A duel of ultimatums: Will the May ceasefire lead to negotiations to end the war against Ukraine?

Russia and Ukraine appear to be escalating the pressure in order to improve their positions ahead of a possible return to peace talks

Briefing Notes
  • 4 May 2026

Victory Day without victory: How Putin’s core symbol is becoming a liability

Russia’s Victory Day unfolds amid war stalemate, security fears, and waning support, exposing tensions between Kremlin propaganda and battlefield reality

Briefing Notes
  • 27 April 2026

Deadlock in the Russia–Ukraine war: Back to negotiations

Neither Russia nor Ukraine is showing readiness to halt the war and resume the peace process. However, the dynamics of the conflict suggest that they will most likely return to the negotiating table in the near future

Briefing Notes
  • 20 April 2026

High-level discussion of Russia’s economic problems is taking place for a reason

Putin spotlights economic decline as elections near, fueling elite tensions, pressure on government, and rising influence of security services

Briefing Notes
  • 13 April 2026

An uncomfortable partner: How the Kremlin attempts to keep Armenia in its orbit

Russia is not yet intervening in Armenia’s elections on behalf of any particular candidate, but it is exploiting the country’s economic dependence to prevent it from growing closer to the West

Briefing Notes
  • 3 April 2026

Loyalty, not money: Why Putin seeks ‘voluntary contributions’ from big business for the war against Ukraine

Putin’s call for 'voluntary' business contributions is less about funding the war and more about reaffirming elite loyalty in an increasingly coercive system

Briefing Notes
  • 29 March 2026

The Iran card and new flashpoints: How Moscow is raising the stakes in its confrontation with the West

Russia escalates rhetoric and pressure on Europe, leveraging the Iran conflict to influence Ukraine negotiations and challenge Western unity

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Монтажная область 1

New Eurasian Strategies Centre (c) 2026

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